Churchill Downs

The price is fair. You pay 17.2× its owner earnings: the cash an owner could take out each year, which is in the historically fair zone. At today's price, the market is assuming roughly 4% yearly growth; analysts expect 21%. The price, in other words, assumes less than the experts do.

The trajectory is moderate and the balance sheet is stretched. The company scores 8/20 on our value-creation score: creating some value. Analysts lean positive.

Nothing is flagged here: no red or amber gates, no divergence between profits and cash. That is itself information: the numbers are straightforward. As always: this describes the company's numbers; it is not a recommendation.