Advance Auto Parts

On valuation, the picture is expensive. The owner-earnings multiple stands at 104.7×; owner earnings: the cash an owner could take out each year. The implied growth embedded in that price is around 29% a year, against analyst forecasts of 7%. The market is pricing in far more than analysts expect: heroic expectations.

Growth is moderate; the safety picture is adequate. The company scores 10/20 on our value-creation score: creating some value.

No flags apply to this company at this time: accounts, balance sheet, and cash quality all pass. A clean bill of health is meaningful, not just the absence of a warning. This analysis describes numbers; it is not investment advice.